Sport Picks
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kumamoto Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J2/J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi 
Match Events
25'
25'
Oiwa K.
Assist: Misawa N.
40'
40'
Wakasa Y.
44'
44'
Bae Jeong-Min
AI Match Summary
The J2/J3 League game between Renofa Yamaguchi and Kumamoto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Kumamoto haven't matched Renofa Yamaguchi's recent run of results.
- Model gives Renofa Yamaguchi a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renofa Yamaguchi | Kumamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kumamoto
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kumamoto
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Oiwa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Kumamoto Compare
Top Goalscorer Katori Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renofa Yamaguchi 59 / 100
Kumamoto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renofa Yamaguchi Kumamoto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renofa Yamaguchi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Kumamoto conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Renofa Yamaguchi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Renofa Yamaguchi VS Kumamoto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Home) 26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
02 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
02 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
15 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 0 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
Kumamoto
(Away) 29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2 Kumamoto
19 Aug
Gainare Tottori
3 : 2 Kumamoto
08 Aug
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
