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Stadium Background

Renova vs Bregalnica Stip - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
Wed, Aug 31, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renova host Bregalnica Stip in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bregalnica Stip have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Renova have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Renova slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 1.68, favoring Bregalnica Stip. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Renova
20%
Draws
33%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bregalnica Stip carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Renova Clean Sheet 13%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renova Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 3 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Renova
0:0
Aug 31, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Bregalnica Stip
0:0
Apr 3, 2022 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Renova
2:2
Feb 12, 2022 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Renova
1:2
Sep 26, 2021 1. MFL
Renova vs Bregalnica Stip
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renova 30 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renova Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renova scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Renova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bregalnica Stip has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bregalnica Stip
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renova

(Home)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)