Sport Picks
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
North Macedonia
First League 2015/2016 Ecolog Arena, Tetovo 
Match Events
54'
54'
Musliu V.
60'
60'
Useini M.
69'
69'
Sub
Ramadani E. In: Skenderi L.
Out: Ramadani E.
AI Match Summary
The First League 2015/2016 game between Renova and Mladost Carev Dvor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renova.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renova
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Renova carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Renova a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular First League 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Renova have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Renova Clean Sheet 68%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renova | Mladost Carev Dvor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.92 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2016 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Renova
0:4
Apr 28, 2016 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
4:2
Apr 6, 2016 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
3:0
Oct 25, 2015 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
1:0
Aug 16, 2015 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Renova
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renova Compare
Top Goalscorer Musliu V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Skenderi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Mladost Carev Dvor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renova 95 / 100
Mladost Carev Dvor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renova Mladost Carev Dvor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mladost Carev Dvor let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Mladost Carev Dvor lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Renova found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).
Scoring Trends
Renova VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Renova
(Home) 14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0 Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5 Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0 FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1 Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1 Struga
Page 1 of 3
08 May
Renova
2 : 0 FK Skopje
01 May
Renova
1 : 1 Struga
17 Apr
Renova
0 : 1 Brera Strumica
28 Apr
Renova
4 : 2 Mladost Carev Dvor
06 Apr
Renova
3 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
Page 1 of 2
Mladost Carev Dvor
(Away) 12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
: Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
: Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4 Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2 Turnovo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
: Mladost Carev Dvor
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
28 Apr
Renova
4 : 2 Mladost Carev Dvor
20 Apr
Turnovo
2 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
10 Apr
Met. Skopje
2 : 0 Mladost Carev Dvor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vardar | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 59:15 | 65 |
| 2 | Shkendija Tetovo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 62:21 | 63 |
| 3 | Sileks | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 40 |
| 4 | Shkupi | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 5 | Rabotnicki | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32:26 | 36 |
| 6 | Bregalnica Stip | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38:43 | 33 |
| 7 | Turnovo | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 32:42 | 33 |
| 8 | Renova | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 33:37 | 31 |
| 9 | Met. Skopje | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20:48 | 16 |
| 10 | Mladost Carev Dvor | 27 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 18:65 | 16 |
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Championship Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)
