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Renova vs Tikves

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
Sat, Oct 15, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renova host Tikves in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Renova at 1.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Tikves at 2.03 for, 1.74 against. Head-to-head, Renova have won 2 to Tikves's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 1.55, favoring Renova. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Renova
20%
Draws
33%
Tikves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tikves come out ahead of Renova on wins alone.
  • Tikves are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Renova Clean Sheet 15%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renova Tikves
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2023 1. MFL
Tikves vs Renova
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Tikves
0:0
May 4, 2022 1. MFL
Tikves vs Renova
0:1
Dec 8, 2021 1. MFL
Renova vs Tikves
1:1
Sep 12, 2021 1. MFL
Tikves vs Renova
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renova 23 / 100
Tikves 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renova Tikves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renova scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Tikves has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Renova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tikves
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Renova

(Home)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

Tikves

(Away)
21 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Tikves
15 Aug
Tikves
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
08 Aug
Bashkimi
0 : 5
Tikves
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)