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Renown vs Matara City

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Renown and Matara City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Renown
33%
Draws
27%
Matara City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Matara City haven't matched Renown's recent run of results.
  • Renown are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Matara City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Matara City
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Matara City
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 Super League
Matara City vs Renown
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 40 / 100
Matara City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Matara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Renown scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Matara City conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Renown has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS Matara City
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00