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Stadium Background

Renown vs Matara City

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Renown Logo

Renown

2 - 1
FT
Matara City Logo

Matara City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Renown and Matara City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Renown
35%
Draws
34%
Matara City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Matara City haven't matched Renown's recent run of results.
  • Renown are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Matara City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Matara City
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Matara City
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 Super League
Matara City vs Renown
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 49 / 100
Matara City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Matara City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matara City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Renown remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Renown scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Renown

(Home)
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
07 Aug
Colombo
0 : 0
Renown
01 Aug
Renown
10 : 0
New Young's SC
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Matara City

(Away)
17 Feb
Matara City
0 : 1
Java Lane
09 Feb
Matara City
2 : 1
Sea Hawks
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Matara City
2 : 2
Blue Eagles
26 Jan
Crystal Palace
1 : 2
Matara City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defenders FC 16 10 4 2 35:25 34
2 Colombo 16 9 5 2 40:20 32
3 Blue Star 16 10 2 4 23:16 32
4 Sea Hawks 16 9 3 4 30:19 30
5 Renown 16 8 3 5 29:20 27
6 Ratnam SC 16 8 3 5 23:19 27
7 UP Country Lions 16 8 0 8 30:22 24
8 Red Star 16 6 5 5 31:21 23
9 Matara City 16 6 5 5 25:24 23
10 Blue Eagles 16 6 5 5 18:20 23
11 Solid 16 5 3 8 36:34 18
12 New Young's SC 16 5 2 9 22:25 17
13 Java Lane 16 4 5 7 24:32 17
14 Pelicans SC 16 4 5 7 19:30 17
15 Saunders 16 4 2 10 22:35 14
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 4 9 14:31 13
17 Negombo Youth 16 1 4 11 18:46 7
18 Super Sun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)