Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renown vs Negombo Youth

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Renown and Negombo Youth finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Renown
6%
Draws
4%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Renown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Renown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Negombo Youth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Negombo Youth
3:1
Sep 26, 2017 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Renown
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 85 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Negombo Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Negombo Youth conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Renown went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Renown scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS Negombo Youth
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Renown

(Home)
18 Jul
Renown
3 : 0
Ratnam SC
20 Jul
Saunders
2 : 4
Renown
13 Jul
Renown
:
Maligawatte Youth
05 Jul
Moragasmulla
0 : 8
Renown
29 Jun
Renown
2 : 1
Java Lane
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Negombo Youth

(Away)
13 Feb
Negombo Youth
2 : 8
Solid
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
27 Jan
Defenders FC
2 : 2
Negombo Youth
19 Jan
Negombo Youth
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)