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Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Complejo Rentistas, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Carrizo L.
70' Event
Cabrera F.
81'
Chacon T.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Rentistas and Plaza Colonia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rentistas
20%
Draws
32%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plaza Colonia come out ahead of Rentistas on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Rentistas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
2:1
Aug 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Rentistas
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrizo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 50 / 100
Plaza Colonia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rentistas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Plaza Colonia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rentistas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS Plaza Colonia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rentistas

(Home)
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
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Plaza Colonia

(Away)
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
12 Sept
Huracan FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
10 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
11 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
12 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
13 Miramar 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)