Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Resende U20 vs Fluminense U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gorgulho G.
80' Event
Aguiar H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Resende U20
20%
Draws
52%
Fluminense U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense U20 come out ahead of Resende U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense U20 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Fluminense U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende U20 Fluminense U20
Matches Played 25 37
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Resende U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguiar H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorgulho G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende U20 28 / 100
Fluminense U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende U20 Fluminense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Fluminense U20 conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Resende U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fluminense U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

Fluminense U20

(Away)
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)