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Resende vs Americano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Vitor J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Resende
20%
Draws
51%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende haven't matched Americano's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Americano taking it.
  • Americano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Resende Clean Sheet 22%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Americano
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs Resende
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
0:1
May 19, 2024 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Americano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 24 / 100
Americano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resende scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Americano has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Resende has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Americano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Americano 4
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Resende 2
Final
Americano 2
Resende 1