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Resende vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Vitor J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Resende advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Resende
40%
Draws
29%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende haven't matched Americano's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Americano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Resende Clean Sheet 68%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Americano
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
0:1
May 19, 2024 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
2:0
Aug 2, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:1
Mar 10, 2019 Carioca
Americano vs Resende
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Americano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 42 / 100
Americano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resende scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Americano has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Resende has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Americano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Americano4
America RJ1
Marica1
Resende2
Final
Americano0
Resende1