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Resende vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Matheus Goiano
45' Event
Santos A.
48' Event
Matheus Goiano

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Resende
30%
Draws
23%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Resende lately — more wins on the board than Cabofriense.
  • Model gives Resende a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Resende Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Cabofriense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Cabofriense
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 Carioca 2
Resende vs Cabofriense
1:0
Aug 28, 2024 Copa Rio
Resende vs Cabofriense
0:2
Aug 21, 2024 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Resende
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Carioca 2
Resende vs Cabofriense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rincon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 50 / 100
Cabofriense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Cabofriense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Cabofriense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Cabofriense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)