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Resende vs CEAC/Araruama

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Resende Logo

Resende

1 - 0
FT
CEAC/Araruama Logo

CEAC/Araruama

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Matheus Goiano
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Resende and CEAC/Araruama finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Resende
20%
Draws
51%
CEAC/Araruama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of CEAC/Araruama on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Resende's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Resende Clean Sheet 68%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.26 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs CEAC/Araruama
1:0
May 31, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Resende
0:2
Jun 22, 2024 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Resende
1:1
May 24, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs CEAC/Araruama
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 46 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende CEAC/Araruama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resende scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: CEAC/Araruama conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Resende went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS CEAC/Araruama
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
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CEAC/Araruama

(Away)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)