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Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Resende host Sampaio Correa FE in the Copa Rio. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sampaio Correa FE have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Resende have conceded 0.5 and scored 2.38. Past meetings favor Resende slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2023, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.50) point toward Resende. Resende in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Resende
17%
Draws
13%
Sampaio Correa FE
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Resende's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Resende Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 67 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Sampaio Correa FE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Resende scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Resende remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Sampaio Correa FE
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso-
Madureira-
Americano-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras-
Marica-
America RJ-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo-
Volta Redonda-
Resende-
Sampaio Correa FE-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-