Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Resende Logo

Resende

0 - 1
FT
Sampaio Correa FE Logo

Sampaio Correa FE

Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Alexandre Souza
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Resende
20%
Draws
57%
Sampaio Correa FE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sampaio Correa FE's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Resende have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sampaio Correa FE have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Resende Clean Sheet 25%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Resende
2:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandre Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 29 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Sampaio Correa FE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resende scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Sampaio Correa FE has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Resende remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Sampaio Correa FE
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Sampaio Correa FE

(Away)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1
Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3