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Resistencia vs Deportivo Capiata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Diaz F.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Resistencia and Deportivo Capiata finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Resistencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Resistencia
20%
Draws
32%
Deportivo Capiata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Resistencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Resistencia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Resistencia a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resistencia Deportivo Capiata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Deportivo Capiata
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Resistencia
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Deportivo Capiata
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Resistencia
1:0
Oct 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Resistencia
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resistencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resistencia 59 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resistencia Deportivo Capiata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resistencia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Capiata conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Resistencia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Deportivo Capiata registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Resistencia VS Deportivo Capiata
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Resistencia

(Home)
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Capiata

(Away)
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
27 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 0
12 de Junio
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
13 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 1
Deportivo Santani
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
6 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
7 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
8 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)