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Retford United vs Mansfield

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Chambers L.
36' Event
Oshilaja A.
44' Event
Roberts T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Retford United and Mansfield finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Retford United
20%
Draws
36%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retford United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Retford United haven't matched Mansfield's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mansfield a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mansfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Retford United Clean Sheet 10%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retford United Mansfield
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Retford United vs Mansfield
1:2
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Retford United
6:0
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Retford United vs Mansfield
0:7
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Retford United vs Mansfield
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retford United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshilaja A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retford United 10 / 100
Mansfield 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retford United Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Mansfield let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Retford United's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Retford United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retford United VS Mansfield
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Retford United

(Home)
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
19 Jul
Parkgate
1 : 3
Retford United
08 Jul
Mansfield
6 : 0
Retford United
16 Jul
Retford United
0 : 7
Mansfield
25 Jul
Retford United
7 : 2
Winterton Rangers
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Mansfield

(Away)
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2
Luton
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