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Retro vs CA Porto

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Pernambucano 2 2019 Arena Pernambuco
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2019 game between Retro and CA Porto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Retro
39%
Draws
31%
CA Porto
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Porto haven't matched Retro's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Retro Clean Sheet 19%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro CA Porto
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2024 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
1:0
Oct 30, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
2:1
Oct 27, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Retro
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 31 / 100
CA Porto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro CA Porto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Retro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CA Porto has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Decisao31203:25
2Retro31113:34
3Vera Cruz31112:24
4CA Porto30213:42