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Retro vs CA Porto

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2019 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2019 game between Retro and CA Porto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Retro
35%
Draws
28%
CA Porto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CA Porto haven't matched Retro's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Retro Clean Sheet 19%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro CA Porto
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 15
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.32 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2024 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
1:0
Oct 30, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
2:1
Oct 27, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Retro
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 31 / 100
CA Porto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro CA Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Retro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CA Porto has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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CA Porto

(Away)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Decisao 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Retro 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Vera Cruz 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 CA Porto 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2019 (Play Offs)