Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Retro in this Estonian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 7-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Retro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Retro lately — more wins on the board than FCP Parnu.
- Retro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Retro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%
FCP Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Retro | FCP Parnu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 9 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 4.89 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.78 | 5.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2015 Estonian Cup
Retro vs FCP Parnu
7:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Retro 83 / 100
FCP Parnu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Retro FCP Parnu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Retro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Retro scored in 89% of their last 9 games.
FCP Parnu let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.
Games between these two average 12.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Retro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Retro VS FCP Parnu
5.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 5.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Retro
(Home) 20 Oct
Flora
17 : 0 Retro
03 Sept
Retro
2 : 1 Kalju III
11 Aug
Lootos FCR
0 : 12 Retro
05 Jul
Retro
7 : 5 FCP Parnu
24 Sept
Ulikool Tallinn
4 : 3 Retro
Page 1 of 2
03 Sept
Retro
2 : 1 Kalju III
05 Jul
Retro
7 : 5 FCP Parnu
06 Jul
Retro
9 : 2 Valga Warrior
08 Jun
Retro
5 : 1 Tallinn Piraaja
05 Jun
Retro
1 : 11 Narva
FCP Parnu
(Away) 26 Jul
Tervis Parnu
8 : 3 FCP Parnu
08 Jul
FCP Parnu
0 : 3 Maksatransport
28 Jul
Flora U19
12 : 0 FCP Parnu
11 Jul
Rumori Calcio II
1 : 4 FCP Parnu
17 Jun
Kadrina SK Moe
3 : 0 FCP Parnu
Page 1 of 2
26 Jul
Tervis Parnu
8 : 3 FCP Parnu
28 Jul
Flora U19
12 : 0 FCP Parnu
11 Jul
Rumori Calcio II
1 : 4 FCP Parnu
17 Jun
Kadrina SK Moe
3 : 0 FCP Parnu
07 Jun
Flora
11 : 0 FCP Parnu
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Lasnamae 1
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Tallinna Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Kalju III 3
Tartu Ulikool 2
TBD -
Otepaa -
Lootos FCR -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 5
Retro 7
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Igiliikur 1
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 9
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Rapla 2
Metropool Parnu 6
Kuressaare 20
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
IceBears 1
SK Taaksi 10
JK Poseidon 3
Rumori Calcio 2
TBD -
Santos Tartu -
Torva JK 7
Raasiku Valla 1
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Fellin -
TBD -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Valga Warrior 0
Navi Vutiselts 4
Parnu Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Maardu United 4
Narva United 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
TBD -
Oismae Torm -
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Flora U19 0
Kose 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Marjamaa 2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
TBD -
Raudteetoolised 0
Paide Linnameeskond 31
Merkuur Tartu -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker 3
Rada Kuusalu 4
Olympic Tallinn 2
Pedajamae 0
Kadakas 0
Levadia 8
Tulevik 2
Keila JK 1
Kusimark 1
Kaitseliit 12
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Castovanni Eagles 0
Virtsu 0
FCI Tallinn 36
Narva 14
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Twister Tallinn 2
Imavere Forss 6
Tallinn CF 4
Elva 3
TBD -
Kalju -
Tallinn Forza 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tabasalu 1
Roosu 4
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Tabivere -
TBD -
Helios 0
Pirita 5
Maardu Starbunker II -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Tallinna Depoo 2
Moe 0
Lelle 1
Like & Share 2
Jogeva Wolves 1
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Soccernet 2
Eston Villa 2
FC Tartu 1
TBD -
Legion -
Bronx Wood 5
Roosad Pantrid 0
TBD -
Viimsi MRJK -
1/32-finals
Flora 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Kalju III 4
Otepaa 1
Lootos FCR 0
Retro 12
Nomme Utd 4
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 1
Metropool Parnu 4
Kuressaare 4
SK Taaksi 2
JK Poseidon 0
Santos Tartu 11
Torva JK 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Fellin 1
SK EPMU Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Loo JK 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Navi Vutiselts 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu United 1
FCI Tallinn II 4
Viimsi JK 6
Oismae Torm 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Sillamae Kalev 6
Marjamaa 1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Merkuur Tartu 4
Rada Kuusalu 2
Olympic Tallinn 0
Levadia 14
Tulevik 7
Kaitseliit 0
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Narva 12
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinn CF 0
Kalju 3
Tallinn Forza 7
Roosu 2
Ambla 0
Rakvere 10
Tabivere 1
Pirita 0
Maardu Starbunker II 0
Vaatsa Vald 3
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Lelle 0
Like & Share 2
Soccernet 4
Eston Villa 5
Legion 1
Bronx Wood 1
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/16-finals
Flora 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kalju III 1
Retro 2
Nomme Utd 8
Metropool Parnu 0
Kuressaare 3
Santos Tartu 4
Torva JK 2
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Navi Vutiselts 3
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Sillamae Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Merkuur Tartu 1
Levadia 13
Tulevik 2
FCI Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Kalju 2
Tallinn Forza 4
Rakvere 0
Tabivere 4
Vaatsa Vald 7
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Soccernet 0
Eston Villa 2
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/8-finals
Flora 17
Retro 0
Nomme Utd 2
Santos Tartu 3
Torva JK 7
Navi Vutiselts 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 0
Tulevik 0
Kalju 5
Tallinn Forza 6
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi MRJK 4
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Santos Tartu 1
Torva JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Kalju 0
Tallinn Forza 1
Viimsi MRJK 6
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Viimsi MRJK 0
Final
Flora 3
Sillamae Kalev 0
