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Retro vs Maguary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2026 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Luiz Henrique
22' Event
Eduardo
Penalty Missed
34'
Dankler

AI Match Summary

Retro in this Pernambucano 2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Retro
20%
Draws
22%
Maguary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Retro lately — more wins on the board than Maguary.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Retro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Retro Clean Sheet 68%
Maguary Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro Maguary
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Pernambucano
Retro vs Maguary
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Pernambucano
Retro vs Maguary
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vagner Love
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira I. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 41 / 100
Maguary 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro Maguary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Retro scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Maguary has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Retro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS Maguary
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
Page 1 of 7

Maguary

(Away)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico -
TBD -
Santa Cruz 3
Decisao 1
Sport Recife -
TBD -
Retro 3
Maguary 2
Semi-finals
Nautico 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sport Recife 4
Retro 2
Final
Nautico 3
Sport Recife 6