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Retro vs Treze PB

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Retro Logo

Retro

3 - 0
FT
Treze PB Logo

Treze PB

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Israel
50' Event
Sillas
64' Event
Bruno Marques
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Retro and Treze PB finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Retro
35%
Draws
25%
Treze PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Treze PB come out ahead of Retro on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Retro taking it.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Retro Clean Sheet 18%
Treze PB Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro Treze PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie D
Retro vs Treze PB
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Serie D
Treze PB vs Retro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Israel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sillas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Treze PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 36 / 100
Treze PB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro Treze PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Retro scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Treze PB conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Retro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS Treze PB
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
Page 1 of 6

Treze PB

(Away)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Treze PB
2 : 0
CRAC
04 Jul
CRAC
2 : 1
Treze PB
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 10 6 4 0 13:5 22
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 10 6 2 2 15:9 20
3 Sao Raimundo RR 10 3 4 3 10:7 13
4 Monte Roraima 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
5 Manaus FC 10 2 4 4 8:13 10
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guapore 10 6 4 0 19:9 22
2 Porto Velho 10 5 3 2 33:9 18
3 Araguaina 10 5 3 2 31:9 18
4 Independencia Futebol Clube 10 4 3 3 17:10 15
5 Galvez 10 3 1 6 14:31 10
6 SC Humaita 10 0 0 10 4:50 0
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 10 8 2 0 23:6 26
2 Luverdense 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
3 Brasiliense 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
4 Aparecidense 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
5 Primavera AC 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Inhumas 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Goiatuba EC 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Ceilandia 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
4 Mixto 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
6 Operario VG 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
2 Aguia De Maraba 10 5 3 2 20:11 18
3 Imperatriz 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
4 Tuna Luso 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Tocantinopolis 10 3 3 4 18:18 12
6 Oratorio 10 1 1 8 12:29 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iguatu 10 5 5 0 14:7 20
2 Maracana 10 5 4 1 12:6 19
3 Parnahyba 10 4 2 4 11:13 14
4 Sampaio Correa 10 3 4 3 12:6 13
5 Moto Club 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
6 IAPE 10 0 4 6 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 10 6 3 1 15:7 21
2 Piaui 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
3 Fluminense-PI 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
4 AE Altos 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
5 Tirol 10 2 4 4 10:10 10
6 Atletico Cearense 10 1 4 5 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 10 7 2 1 15:6 23
2 America RN 10 6 3 1 14:3 21
3 Maguary 10 3 4 3 8:5 13
4 Central SC 10 3 4 3 8:7 13
5 Sousa 10 3 1 6 4:11 10
6 Laguna RN 10 0 2 8 3:20 2
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
2 Sergipe 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
3 Serra Branca 10 3 6 1 12:8 15
4 Lagarto 10 3 4 3 14:15 13
5 Retro 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
6 Decisao 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 10 6 3 1 25:8 21
2 Juazeirense 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 ASA 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
4 Jacuipense 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
6 Alagoinhas 10 1 2 7 5:20 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberlandia 10 5 3 2 12:8 18
2 Betim FC 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
3 CRAC 10 3 4 3 7:7 13
4 Ivinhema 10 3 4 3 9:12 13
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
6 Operario MS 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Democrata GV 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
2 Tombense 10 4 5 1 13:6 17
3 Vitoria ES 10 4 3 3 12:8 15
4 Rio Branco ES 10 3 4 3 14:12 13
5 Porto-BA 10 3 1 6 9:21 10
6 Real Noroeste 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 10 6 3 1 16:6 21
2 Agua Santa 10 5 2 3 16:8 17
3 Portuguesa RJ 10 3 5 2 14:9 14
4 America RJ 10 3 3 4 11:21 12
5 Madureira 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Pouso Alegre 10 2 1 7 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 4 5 1 14:9 17
2 Noroeste 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
3 Velo Clube 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
4 Sampaio Correa FE 10 3 3 4 8:10 12
5 Nova Iguacu 10 3 3 4 7:10 12
6 Marica 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
2 Cianorte 10 5 1 4 9:8 16
3 FC Cascavel 10 4 3 3 9:4 15
4 Sao Luiz 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
5 Joinville 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
6 Guarany de Bage 10 1 1 8 2:18 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenau 10 6 1 3 14:8 19
2 Marcilio Dias 10 4 4 2 9:5 16
3 Sao Joseense 10 3 4 3 3:4 13
4 EC Sao Jose (PA) 10 3 4 3 6:8 13
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
6 Azuriz 10 2 3 5 7:11 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)