Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Real Sociedad B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Retuerto Sport play Real Sociedad B in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Retuerto Sport averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Real Sociedad B averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Retuerto Sport won 0, Real Sociedad B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 13, 2010 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Retuerto Sport and 1.61 for Real Sociedad B. This points to a Real Sociedad B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Retuerto Sport

28%

Draws

49%

Real Sociedad B

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Sociedad B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Retuerto Sport picked up more points recently compared to Real Sociedad B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Retuerto Sport Clean Sheet 14%

Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Retuerto Sport	Real Sociedad B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	9	8
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	0.57	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Retuerto Sport vs Real Sociedad B

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Oct 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Real Sociedad B vs Retuerto Sport

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retuerto Sport 24 / 100

Real Sociedad B 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Retuerto Sport Real Sociedad B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Sociedad B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Retuerto Sport attacking → ← attacking Real Sociedad B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retuerto Sport scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Real Sociedad B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Retuerto Sport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Sociedad B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 41

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13