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Rewa vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League Govind Park, Ba
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Khan R.
35'
Tuteru S.
40' Event
Khan R.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League game between Rewa and Tupapa finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rewa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rewa
15%
Draws
34%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rewa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rewa come out ahead of Tupapa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rewa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rewa Clean Sheet 20%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rewa Tupapa
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.34 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.91 3.82
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 OFC Champions League
Rewa vs Tupapa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Athale J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rimene-Albrett T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maraetefau H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rewa 85 / 100
Tupapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rewa Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rewa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rewa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Tupapa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Tupapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rewa VS Tupapa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rewa

(Home)
23 Aug
Rewa
0 : 1
Navua
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
ABM Galaxy
4 : 1
Rewa
Page 1 of 7

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Central Coast 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABM Galaxy 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Rewa 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)