Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Vidarsson K.
37'
37'
Vidarsson S.
64'
64'
Faye P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Reynir in this Icelandic Cup 2022 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Arbaer at 2 per game, Reynir at 1.82.
- Model gives Reynir a 28% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Reynir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.400000000000006%
Reynir Clean Sheet 68%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Reynir | Arbaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 15 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.48 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.62 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Reynir vs Arbaer
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Reynir Compare
Top Goalscorer Vidarsson S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Vidarsson K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Arbaer Compare
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Reynir 77 / 100
Arbaer 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Reynir Arbaer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Reynir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Reynir's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Reynir VS Arbaer
1.38 Goals Scored 2.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%
Recent Form & Match History
Reynir
(Home) 04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2 Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0 Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7 Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1 Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5 Grindavik
Page 1 of 7
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5 Grindavik
14 Sept
Reynir
1 : 2 KFG Gardabaer
31 Aug
Reynir
0 : 0 Haukar
16 Aug
Reynir
1 : 4 Selfoss
01 Aug
Reynir
3 : 1 KFA
Page 1 of 3
Arbaer
(Away) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
21 Sept
Selfoss
4 : 1 Arbaer
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
