Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022

Arbaer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reynir play Arbaer in the Icelandic Cup 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Reynir averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Arbaer averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Reynir won 1, Arbaer won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 8, 2022 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Reynir and 2.25 for Arbaer. This points to a Arbaer double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Reynir

15%

Draws

49%

Arbaer

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Reynir picked up more points recently compared to Arbaer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%

Reynir Clean Sheet 10%

Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reynir	Arbaer
Matches Played	31	15
Wins	8	8
Draws	3	0
Losses	20	7
Goals Scored	1.58	2
Goals Conceded	2.45	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Icelandic Cup

Reynir vs Arbaer

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidarsson S.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Vidarsson K.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Arbaer Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reynir 34 / 100

Arbaer 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reynir Arbaer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arbaer or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reynir attacking → ← attacking Arbaer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reynir scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Arbaer let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Reynir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 24

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50