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Reynir vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Diallo Ba M.
Own Goal
57' Event
Vokes A.
70' Event
Diallo Ba M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2024 game between Reynir and Selfoss finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Reynir
15%
Draws
65%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selfoss come out ahead of Reynir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
  • Selfoss have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reynir Selfoss
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.43 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2024 Division 2
Reynir vs Selfoss
1:4
Jun 6, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Reynir
2:1
May 19, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Reynir vs Selfoss
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannsson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Vokes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamorano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reynir 10 / 100
Selfoss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reynir Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Reynir's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Reynir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reynir VS Selfoss
2 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Reynir

(Home)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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