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Stadium Background

Rezekne vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lucins A.
87'
Silkans G.
90' Event
Kovalovs A.

AI Match Summary

Rezekne host JFK Ventspils in the Nakotnes liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Rezekne at 1 goals for, 3 against; JFK Ventspils at 1.13 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Rezekne have won 0 to JFK Ventspils's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.06) point toward JFK Ventspils. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Rezekne
17%
Draws
70%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: JFK Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • JFK Ventspils has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rezekne.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for JFK Ventspils.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs JFK Ventspils
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs JFK Ventspils
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne
4:0
Apr 15, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs JFK Ventspils
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovalovs A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucins A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 14 / 100
JFK Ventspils 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

JFK Ventspils let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rezekne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

JFK Ventspils lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS JFK Ventspils
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334