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Rezekne vs Marupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Zengis R.
74' Event
Zukovs D.
89' Event
Seliverstovs A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Rezekne and Marupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rezekne
20%
Draws
70%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Rezekne on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Marupe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Marupe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
2:1
May 24, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Zukovs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zengis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seliverstovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 10 / 100
Marupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rezekne scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Marupe has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rezekne went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Marupe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
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Marupe

(Away)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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