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Rezekne vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Zengis R.
74' Event
Zukovs D.
89' Event
Seliverstovs A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Rezekne and Marupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rezekne
15%
Draws
73%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Rezekne on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Marupe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Marupe
2:1
May 24, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Rezekne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Zukovs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zengis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seliverstovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 30 / 100
Marupe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Rezekne scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Marupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Marupe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
19 Jul
FK Smiltene
1 : 0
Rezekne
04 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 1
JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 16 13 2 1 44:14 41
2 FK Metta 16 13 2 1 69:14 41
3 Leevon PPK 16 11 3 2 27:18 36
4 Riga Mariners 16 10 5 1 34:15 35
5 Alberts JDFS 16 8 4 4 32:23 28
6 Marupe 17 8 1 8 28:26 25
7 Super Nova 2 17 6 5 6 24:25 23
8 Riga FC 2 16 6 2 8 23:30 20
9 Skanste 16 6 1 9 30:32 19
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 16 3 3 10 22:45 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 16 2 4 10 19:43 10
14 Rezekne 16 1 2 13 13:46 5
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