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RFS vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
RFS Logo

RFS

1 - 1
FT
FK Auda Riga Logo

FK Auda Riga

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Panic S.
46'
Sub
Ogunji A. In: Appiah A.
Out: Ogunji A.
46'
Sub
Kouadio A. In: Ndjiki R.
Out: Kouadio A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RFS
35%
Draws
38%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RFS have won more games recently than FK Auda Riga.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
RFS Clean Sheet 16%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.39 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
1:1
May 17, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Latvian Cup
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubenis O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 41 / 100
FK Auda Riga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

RFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS FK Auda Riga
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
Page 1 of 6

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 22 4 2 68:20 70
2 Riga FC 29 20 7 2 84:30 67
3 FK Auda Riga 29 17 6 6 47:29 57
4 FK Liepaja 30 12 6 12 41:43 42
5 BFC Daugavpils 29 10 8 11 34:33 38
6 Super Nova 28 10 5 13 29:38 35
7 Jelgava 30 8 8 14 32:48 32
8 Grobina 30 5 10 15 20:51 25
9 Tukums 2000 30 5 8 17 43:60 23
10 Ogre United 29 3 6 20 29:75 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)