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RFS vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RFS play FK Auda Riga in the Virsliga. It looks like a close match. Recently, RFS averaged 2.56 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. FK Auda Riga averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, RFS won 2, FK Auda Riga won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for RFS and 0.94 for FK Auda Riga. This points to a RFS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
RFS
15%
Draws
32%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • RFS picked up more points recently compared to FK Auda Riga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
RFS Clean Sheet 24%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 27 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.56 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
1:1
May 17, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Latvian Cup
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubenis O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 53 / 100
FK Auda Riga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS FK Auda Riga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick RFS & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RFS attacking → ← attacking FK Auda Riga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

RFS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Auda Riga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

83 Points in last 5 45
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Riga FC22174165:1955
2RFS21181253:1555
3FK Auda Riga21123636:2539
4FK Liepaja2184927:3128
5Jelgava2267924:3825
6Super Nova21731122:3324
7BFC Daugavpils2166922:2824
8Tukums 200021381036:4117
9Grobina21381012:3217
10Ogre United21241519:5410