Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass

RFS

5 - 0

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Saidy M.

35'

Lipuscek Z.

Assist: Savalnieks R.

38'

Korobenko A.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

RFS

11%

Draws

FK Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

RFS have won more games recently than FK Liepaja.
80% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
RFS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

RFS Clean Sheet 68%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RFS	FK Liepaja
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	23	12
Draws	2	4
Losses	2	12
Goals Scored	2.38	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs RFS

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

May 8, 2026 Virsliga

RFS vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 4 - 0

5:0

Mar 13, 2026 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs RFS

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sep 28, 2025 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs RFS

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Jul 4, 2025 Virsliga

RFS vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidy M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lipuscek Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 86 / 100

FK Liepaja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RFS FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

FK Liepaja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

RFS went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS FK Liepaja

2.38 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Riga FC	23	18	4	1	68:20	58
2	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	BFC Daugavpils	23	8	6	9	29:29	30
5	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	23	3	8	12	38:47	17
10	Ogre United	23	3	4	16	21:59	13