Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS vs Grobina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
RFS Logo

RFS

6 - 1
FT
Grobina Logo

Grobina

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Matyushenko I.
11' Event
Panic S.
28' Event
Ndjiki R.
Assist: Saidy M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between RFS and Grobina finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RFS
35%
Draws
25%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Grobina haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Grobina
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.1 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
6:1
Jun 13, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Grobina
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Panic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndjiki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Olatunde-Matthew O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 42 / 100
Grobina 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Grobina conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

RFS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Grobina
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)