Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga

RFS

4 - 0

Jelgava

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Lemajic D.

Assist: Savalnieks R.

46'

Sub

Rakic S. In: Kigurs M.

Out: Rakic S.

47'

Lemajic D.

Assist: Odisharia L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

RFS

Draws

Jelgava

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jelgava haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors RFS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RFS	Jelgava
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	24	7
Draws	2	7
Losses	2	15
Goals Scored	2.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Virsliga

Jelgava vs RFS

0:1

Jul 12, 2026 Latvian Cup

RFS vs Jelgava

2:0

May 21, 2026 Virsliga

RFS vs Jelgava

4:0

Apr 8, 2026 Virsliga

Jelgava vs RFS

0:1

Sep 13, 2025 Virsliga

RFS vs Jelgava

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemajic D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Prenga H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Jelgava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 95 / 100

Jelgava 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RFS Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Jelgava let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: RFS remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Jelgava

2.5 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)

23 Jul

RFS

4 : 1

Vestri

20 Jul

Jelgava

0 : 1

RFS

16 Jul

RFS

2 : 0

Glentoran

12 Jul

RFS

2 : 0

Jelgava

09 Jul

Glentoran

1 : 2

RFS

Page 1 of 6

Jelgava

(Away)

20 Jul

Jelgava

0 : 1

RFS

12 Jul

RFS

2 : 0

Jelgava

03 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 0

Jelgava

29 Jun

Jelgava

2 : 0

Grobina

25 Jun

Super Nova

1 : 5

Jelgava

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	23	19	2	2	55:16	59
2	Riga FC	23	18	4	1	68:20	58
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	BFC Daugavpils	23	8	6	9	29:29	30
5	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
6	Super Nova	23	8	3	12	25:35	27
7	Jelgava	23	6	7	10	24:39	25
8	Grobina	23	4	8	11	15:35	20
9	Tukums 2000	23	3	8	12	38:47	17
10	Ogre United	23	3	4	16	21:59	13

Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)

Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)

Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)

Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)