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RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2022 NSB Arkādija, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Melniks D. In: Grauds D.
Out: Melniks D.
33'
Sub
Varslavans R. In: Emerson Deocleciano
Out: Varslavans R.
36'
Uzela K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with RFS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RFS
30%
Draws
43%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Spartaks Jurmala on wins alone.
  • RFS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • RFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
3:0
Jul 9, 2022 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
4:0
Jun 26, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
0:2
May 1, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuglis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rakels D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 36 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Spartaks Jurmala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: RFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 4
FK Varaklani 2
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Gauja -
FK Alberts -
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LSPA -
Beitar -
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Bebri -
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Jelgava -
DSVK Traktors 4
Kadaga/Ostas 3
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JFK Daugava -
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Alberts JDFS -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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JFC Viola 2
Sports United/Cesis 0
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Babites -
Valka -
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Gulbenes -
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Salaspils FK -
Upesciems -
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Dobele Allegro 3
Bauskas BJSS 0
Augsdaugavas 2
Ogre United 1
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
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Tukums 2000 -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine -
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Grobina -
Sigulda 3
FK Union 2
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Marupe -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
Lielupe -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
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Rezekne -
Skanste -
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Plavinas -
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Betsafe -
Priekuli -
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Riga United -
Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
Jekabpils SC -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Dinamo Riga -
1/64-finals
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Valmiera -
FK Auda Riga -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 2
Gauja 1
FK Alberts 1
LSPA 4
Beitar 4
Bebri 1
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Jelgava -
DSVK Traktors 2
JFK Daugava 12
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Alberts JDFS -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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JFC Viola 4
Babites 3
Valka 0
Gulbenes 2
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Salaspils FK -
Upesciems 0
Dobele Allegro 3
Augsdaugavas 3
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
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FK Metta -
Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine -
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Grobina -
Sigulda 0
Marupe 5
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
Lielupe 2
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
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Rezekne -
Skanste -
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Plavinas 0
Betsafe 1
Priekuli 4
Riga United 1
Aliance 1
FK Limbazi 4
Jekabpils SC 4
Kekava-Auda 2
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Dinamo Riga -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
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FK Auda Riga -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 0
LSPA 1
Beitar 1
Jelgava 8
JFK Daugava 2
Alberts JDFS 5
Saldus SS/Leevon 3
JFC Viola 0
Gulbenes 0
Salaspils FK 9
Dobele Allegro 0
Augsdaugavas 1
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FK Metta -
Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
RFS -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine 2
Grobina 8
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 4
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FK Liepaja -
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
Rezekne 5
Skanste 1
Betsafe 0
Priekuli 1
FK Limbazi 4
Jekabpils SC 2
Dinamo Riga 1
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
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Valmiera -
FK Auda Riga -
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BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 0
Jelgava 11
Alberts JDFS 4
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Salaspils FK 2
Augsdaugavas 0
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FK Metta -
Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
RFS -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
Grobina 2
FK Smiltene 0
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FK Liepaja -
Rezekne 1
Skanste 2
FK Limbazi 0
Jekabpils SC 2
1/8-finals
Riga FC 0
Valmiera 2
FK Auda Riga 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Alberts JDFS 1
Salaspils FK 0
FK Metta 13
Super Nova 0
Tukums 2000 2
RFS 4
Spartaks Jurmala 0
Grobina 2
FK Liepaja 1
Skanste 6
Jekabpils SC 1
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 0
FK Auda Riga 1
Jelgava 2
FK Metta 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Grobina 2
Skanste 0
Semi-finals
FK Auda Riga 6
Jelgava 1
RFS 5
Grobina 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 1
RFS 0