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RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2022 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rakels D.
26'
Kramens K.
46'
Sub
Alpens M. In: Grauds D.
Out: Alpens M.

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RFS
30%
Draws
43%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
3:0
Jul 9, 2022 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
4:0
Jun 26, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
0:2
May 1, 2022 Virsliga
RFS vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs RFS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakels D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Deocleciano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 32 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Spartaks Jurmala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: RFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)