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Rhayader vs Penycae FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Rhayader in this Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rhayader.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rhayader
15%
Draws
42%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhayader

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rhayader lately — more wins on the board than Penycae FC.
  • Model gives Rhayader a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 10%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhayader Penycae FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 23 25
Goals Scored 1.06 1.37
Goals Conceded 3.1 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Penycae FC
3:2
Sep 13, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Rhayader
1:0
Mar 15, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Penycae FC
2:1
Sep 28, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Rhayader
2:1
May 11, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Penycae FC
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhayader 56 / 100
Penycae FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhayader Penycae FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhayader Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penycae FC has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Rhayader found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Penycae FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rhayader VS Penycae FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.67
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhayader

(Home)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

Penycae FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5
Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3
Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)