Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

US Open Cup Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI
Rhode Island Logo

Rhode Island

2 - 0
FT
Hartford Athletic Logo

Hartford Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sanchez A.
Assist: Williams J.
32' Event
Williams J.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
46'
Sub
Diop H. In: Nodarse F.
Out: Diop H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rhode Island
30%
Draws
43%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Hartford Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rhode Island, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 15%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhode Island Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 US Open Cup
Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhode Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hartford Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhode Island 31 / 100
Hartford Athletic 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhode Island Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartford Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rhode Island scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Hartford Athletic conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Rhode Island has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rhode Island VS Hartford Athletic
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhode Island

(Home)
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1
Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

Hartford Athletic

(Away)
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Colorado Springs
05 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -