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Rhyl vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lightfoot B.
45' Event
Lightfoot B.
52' Event
Preece B.

AI Match Summary

Rhyl in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rhyl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rhyl
35%
Draws
47%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Rhyl.
  • Model gives Caersws FC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhyl Caersws FC
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
4:2
Mar 21, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Rhyl
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Caersws FC vs Rhyl
7:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Lightfoot B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Cockerline D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Preece B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhyl 18 / 100
Caersws FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhyl Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Rhyl stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhyl VS Caersws FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhyl

(Home)
09 Oct
Ruthin Town
1 : 1
Rhyl
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
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Caersws FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 11 9 0 2 26:10 27
2 Mold Alexandra 11 7 2 2 28:13 23
3 Newtown 10 7 2 1 18:3 23
4 Porthmadog 11 7 2 2 18:11 23
5 Bala 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
6 Caersws FC 10 5 3 2 22:15 18
7 Bangor 1876 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
8 Guilsfield 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
9 Buckley 11 4 3 4 25:19 15
10 Llanuwchllyn 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
11 Rhyl 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
12 Denbigh 11 3 1 7 20:23 10
13 Ruthin Town 11 2 3 6 10:21 9
14 Holyhead 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
15 Gresford 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
16 Penrhyncoch 11 0 1 10 5:34 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)