Sport Picks
Rhyl vs Cwmbran Town Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 Belle Vue, Rhyl 
Match Events
15'
15'
Lightfoot B.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Parry J.
59'
59'
Pewtner J.
AI Match Summary
Rhyl in this FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cwmbran Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Rhyl have won more games recently than Cwmbran Town.
- Rhyl are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Rhyl have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rhyl, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Rhyl have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 16%
Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rhyl | Cwmbran Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Rhyl vs Cwmbran Town
3:2
Dec 30, 2006 Cymru Premier
Rhyl vs Cwmbran Town
1:0
Aug 19, 2006 Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Town vs Rhyl
2:3
Jan 7, 2006 Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Town vs Rhyl
1:7
Nov 29, 2005 FAW Premier Cup
Rhyl vs Cwmbran Town
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rhyl Compare
Top Goalscorer Parry J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Cwmbran Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Pewtner J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rhyl 48 / 100
Cwmbran Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rhyl Cwmbran Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rhyl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rhyl scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Cwmbran Town conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Rhyl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rhyl VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rhyl
(Home) 26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1 Rhyl
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3 Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2 Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3 Buckley
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2 Caersws FC
01 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 1 Guilsfield
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Town
(Away) 22 Nov
Rhyl
3 : 2 Cwmbran Town
18 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 2 Cwmbran Town
20 Sept
Cwmbran Town
5 : 4 Ynyshir Albions
12 Jul
Pontypridd United
1 : 0 Cwmbran Town
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1 Cwmbran Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
Rhyl
3 : 2 Cwmbran Town
18 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 2 Cwmbran Town
12 Jul
Pontypridd United
1 : 0 Cwmbran Town
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1 Cwmbran Town
21 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3 : 1 Cwmbran Town
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
