Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riachao vs Botafogo ASF

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Riachao Logo

Riachao

2 - 2
FT
Botafogo ASF Logo

Botafogo ASF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Riachao
30%
Draws
58%
Botafogo ASF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo ASF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo ASF lately — more wins on the board than Riachao.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo ASF taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Riachao Clean Sheet 17%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riachao Botafogo ASF
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 0.93 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Sergipano 3
Riachao vs Botafogo ASF
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riachao 12 / 100
Botafogo ASF 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riachao Botafogo ASF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo ASF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo ASF has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Riachao scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Solid form: Riachao remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riachao VS Botafogo ASF
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riachao

(Home)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0
Riachao
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
Page 1 of 3

Botafogo ASF

(Away)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)