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Ribadesella CF vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010 game between Ribadesella CF and Astur finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribadesella CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ribadesella CF
35%
Draws
13%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribadesella CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ribadesella CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ribadesella CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ribadesella CF Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribadesella CF Astur
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Astur
2:0
Nov 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Ribadesella CF
0:2
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Astur
0:0
Nov 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Ribadesella CF
2:2
Mar 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Ribadesella CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribadesella CF 40 / 100
Astur 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribadesella CF Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadesella CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Ribadesella CF scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Ribadesella CF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ribadesella CF VS Astur
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribadesella CF

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
15 May
Ribadesella CF
1 : 3
Nalon CF
08 May
Praviano
0 : 1
Ribadesella CF
01 May
Ribadesella CF
2 : 2
Real Oviedo B
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Astur

(Away)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 8 5 73:27 83
2 Marino De Luanco 38 23 11 4 73:36 80
3 Universidad Oviedo 38 23 7 8 81:38 76
4 Llanes 38 21 7 10 68:38 70
5 Langreo 38 18 12 8 60:35 66
6 Ribadesella CF 38 19 8 11 63:44 65
7 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 74:56 64
8 Candas CF 38 15 14 9 49:32 59
9 Real Aviles 38 16 10 12 48:41 58
10 Lealtad 38 16 9 13 51:45 57
11 Navarro 38 10 15 13 49:57 45
12 Condal 38 12 8 18 36:59 44
13 Union Club Ceares 38 12 8 18 39:59 44
14 Cudillero 38 10 10 18 43:64 40
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 9 19 37:65 39
16 Praviano 38 10 8 20 31:52 38
17 Luarca 38 9 9 20 31:53 36
18 SD Colloto 38 10 5 23 34:60 35
19 Covadonga 38 9 6 23 35:61 33
20 Astur 38 6 3 29 31:84 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)