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Ribelle vs Bellaria Igea Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Ribelle and Bellaria Igea finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ribelle
35%
Draws
32%
Bellaria Igea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ribelle come out ahead of Bellaria Igea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ribelle a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ribelle have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 14%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribelle Bellaria Igea
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Bellaria Igea
6:1
Sep 6, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Ribelle
0:3
Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Bellaria Igea
3:0
Sep 17, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Ribelle
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribelle 41 / 100
Bellaria Igea 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribelle Bellaria Igea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellaria Igea let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ribelle's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ribelle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ribelle VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribelle

(Home)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Bellaria Igea

(Away)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)