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Richards Bay vs Swallows FC

South Africa South Africa

Premier League 2023/2024 King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sibiya S.
28'
Sub
Ntsundwana S. In: Muyaba K.
Out: Ntsundwana S.
31'
Dube T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Richards Bay and Swallows FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Richards Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Richards Bay
28%
Draws
22%
Swallows FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Richards Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Richards Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Richards Bay's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Richards Bay here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Richards Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Swallows FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richards Bay Swallows FC
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Swallows FC
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Carling Knockout
Richards Bay vs Swallows FC
2:1
Sep 15, 2023 Betway Premiership
Swallows FC vs Richards Bay
0:1
Feb 3, 2023 Betway Premiership
Swallows FC vs Richards Bay
1:0
Dec 31, 2022 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Swallows FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richards Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Muyaba K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Swallows FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richards Bay 59 / 100
Swallows FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richards Bay Swallows FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richards Bay found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

Swallows FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Richards Bay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Swallows FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Richards Bay VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Richards Bay

(Home)
23 May
Magesi
1 : 0
Richards Bay
16 May
Richards Bay
1 : 1
Sekhukhune
09 May
Marumo Gallants
1 : 1
Richards Bay
06 May
Richards Bay
0 : 0
Polokwane City
26 Apr
Richards Bay
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 8

Swallows FC

(Away)
25 May
Swallows FC
1 : 2
Royal AM
18 May
Supersport Utd
2 : 0
Swallows FC
11 May
Swallows FC
2 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
07 May
Cape Town City
2 : 0
Swallows FC
01 May
Chippa Utd.
1 : 2
Swallows FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns30227152:1173
2Orlando Pirates30148844:2650
3Stellenbosch FC30148839:2450
4Sekhukhune30129931:2445
5Cape Town City30129932:2645
6TS Galaxy301281031:2544
7Supersport Utd301111835:3344
8Polokwane City30912921:2739
9Golden Arrows301081233:4438
10Kaizer Chiefs30991225:3036
11AmaZulu308121024:3036
12Chippa Utd.308101226:2934
13Royal AM30961524:4333
14Swallows FC30881424:3632
15Richards Bay30861624:3730
16Cape Town Spurs30651923:4323
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Motsepe Foundation Championship 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 (Main)