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Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Murana M.
2' Event
Hernandez O.
46'
Sub
Knapp M. In: Vaughan J.
Out: Knapp M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Richmond Kickers
30%
Draws
64%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves have won more games recently than Richmond Kickers.
  • Model gives Chattanooga Red Wolves a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
May 27, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers
5:0
Jul 12, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:2
May 10, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 26 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Richmond Kickers has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)