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Richmond Kickers vs Columbus Crew Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

US Open Cup City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Richmond Kickers Logo

Richmond Kickers

0 - 3
FT
Columbus Crew Logo

Columbus Crew

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Picard H.
Assist: Herrera A.
52'
Sub
Seufert N. In: Amer A.
Out: Seufert N.
52'
Sub
O'Malley O. In: Johnson L.
Out: O'Malley O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Richmond Kickers
15%
Draws
59%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Columbus Crew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Columbus Crew's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Columbus Crew arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Columbus Crew, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Columbus Crew have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 11%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Columbus Crew
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 US Open Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Columbus Crew
0:3
Jun 17, 2015 US Open Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Columbus Crew
1:3
Jun 28, 2011 US Open Cup
Columbus Crew vs Richmond Kickers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Picard H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thiare J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 22 / 100
Columbus Crew 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Columbus Crew conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Richmond Kickers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Columbus Crew
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew

(Away)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -