Sport Picks
Richmond Kickers vs North Carolina FC
USA
USL Cup 2025 City Stadium, Richmond, VA 
Match Events
18'
18'
Howell B.
29'
29'
Luckhurst A.
46'
46'
Sub
Hodge T. In: Mentzingen R.
Out: Hodge T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with North Carolina FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- North Carolina FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- North Carolina FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor North Carolina FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 15%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Richmond Kickers | North Carolina FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Richmond Kickers vs North Carolina FC
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
North Carolina FC vs Richmond Kickers
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs North Carolina FC
1:3
Aug 9, 2023 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs North Carolina FC
2:2
May 17, 2023 USL League One
North Carolina FC vs Richmond Kickers
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Richmond Kickers Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
North Carolina FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Luckhurst A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Richmond Kickers 35 / 100
North Carolina FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Richmond Kickers North Carolina FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NCA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Carolina FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Richmond Kickers found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Richmond Kickers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Richmond Kickers VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Richmond Kickers
(Home) 25 Jul
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Richmond Kickers
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2 Spokane Velocity
16 Jul
Forward Madison
4 : 0 Richmond Kickers
11 Jul
Greenville Triumph
1 : 2 Richmond Kickers
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2 Spokane Velocity
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0 Sarasota Paradise
20 Jun
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2 Fort Wayne
30 May
Richmond Kickers
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 May
Richmond Kickers
0 : 4 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina FC
(Away) 09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1 North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1 North Carolina FC
04 Oct
Detroit City
2 : 0 North Carolina FC
02 Oct
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 North Carolina FC
20 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 2 North Carolina FC
05 Sept
Lexington
2 : 1 North Carolina FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 7 | Texoma FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Loudoun United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | North Carolina FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Lexington | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | South Georgia Tormenta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Charleston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
