Sport Picks
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA 
Match Events
2'
2'
Barnathan D.
Assist: Layton S.
5'
5'
Lucca Dourado
Assist: Hanson H.
28'
28'
Krioutchenkov D.
Assist: Zarokostas S.
AI Match Summary
Richmond Kickers in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Richmond Kickers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to One Knoxville lately — more wins on the board than Richmond Kickers.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Richmond Kickers | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville
3:2
Mar 27, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnathan D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucca Dourado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Krioutchenkov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Richmond Kickers 34 / 100
One Knoxville 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Richmond Kickers One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
One Knoxville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Richmond Kickers stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Richmond Kickers VS One Knoxville
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Richmond Kickers
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
