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Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
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Match Events

29'
Vazquez Z.
37' Event
Kidd M.
Assist: Kamara J.
42'
Kamara J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and Portland Hearts of Pine finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Richmond Kickers
20%
Draws
50%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portland Hearts of Pine come out ahead of Richmond Kickers on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Richmond Kickers taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1
Jun 24, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers
5:1
Sep 17, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:5
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkland J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Kidd M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 34 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Portland Hearts of Pine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Richmond Kickers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

Portland Hearts of Pine

(Away)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 31 14 9 8 49:36 51
6 Spokane Velocity 28 15 5 8 43:36 50
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)