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Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gallegos A.
Own Goal
30' Event
Covi I.
Assist: Miller C.
42'
Vinyals N.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and Spokane Velocity finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spokane Velocity.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Richmond Kickers
11%
Draws
80%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spokane Velocity come out ahead of Richmond Kickers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spokane Velocity a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spokane Velocity have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 16%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
3:1
Jun 21, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
May 18, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Aug 29, 2024 USL Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Covi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 11 / 100
Spokane Velocity 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spokane Velocity has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Richmond Kickers's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Richmond Kickers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Spokane Velocity
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
16 Jul
Forward Madison
4 : 0
Richmond Kickers
11 Jul
Greenville Triumph
1 : 2
Richmond Kickers
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
24 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
5 : 1
Richmond Kickers
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Spokane Velocity

(Away)
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
04 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0
Spokane Velocity
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1
Forward Madison
25 Jun
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2One Knoxville16103330:1633
3Charlotte Independence1693436:2530
4Spokane Velocity1792622:2129
5AV Alta FC1877426:2128
6Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
7Fort Wayne1676324:1427
8Forward Madison1482426:1426
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1481527:1725
10Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
11Corpus Christi FC1747620:2619
12Westchester SC1753928:2518
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples17521018:2717
15Greenville Triumph1442814:2414
16Richmond Kickers16331012:3012
17New York Cosmos16321117:3611
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)