Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Altach

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Innviertel Arena, Ried
Ried Logo

Ried

3 - 2
FT
Altach Logo

Altach

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Greil P.
Assist: Demaku V.
46'
Sub
Kiedl P. In: Mutandwa K.
Out: Kiedl P.
46' Event
Ouedraogo M.
Assist: Massombo Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Ried and Altach finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ried
20%
Draws
38%
Altach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altach come out ahead of Ried on wins alone.
  • Ried are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ried Clean Sheet 15%
Altach Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Altach
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Altach vs Ried
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Altach
3:2
Dec 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Altach
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Altach vs Ried
1:0
May 19, 2023 Bundesliga
Ried vs Altach
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutandwa K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Altach Compare

Top Goalscorer Greil P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouedraogo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 41 / 100
Altach 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Altach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Altach let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Ried stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Altach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
24 Jul
Dornbirn
1 : 5
Ried
18 Jul
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ried
17 Jul
Ried
3 : 0
RW Essen
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1
Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1
Basaksehir
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Altach

(Away)
24 Jul
Leobendorf
0 : 1
Altach
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
10 Jul
Altach
1 : 0
Vaduz
04 Jul
Altach
1 : 2
Heidenheim
27 Jun
St. Gallen
3 : 2
Altach
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Ried321261438:4228
8Wolfsberger AC321181341:4228
9Grazer AK329101342:4527
10Altach3210121036:3927
11Tirol3210101240:5224
12BW Linz32851937:4921
Relegation - 2. Liga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)