Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Grazer AK

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Innviertel Arena, Ried
Ried Logo

Ried

2 - 1
FT
Grazer AK Logo

Grazer AK

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Koch T.
28' Event
Bajic A.
Assist: Leitner A.
35' Event
Mutandwa K.
Assist: Bajic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Ried and Grazer AK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ried
15%
Draws
59%
Grazer AK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grazer AK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Grazer AK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ried's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ried Clean Sheet 16%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Grazer AK
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Grazer AK
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Ried
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Ried
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Grazer AK
0:0
Mar 29, 2024 2. Liga
Ried vs Grazer AK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mutandwa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosse M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 36 / 100
Grazer AK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Grazer AK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Grazer AK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ried has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Grazer AK
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
14 Aug
LASK Linz
4 : 1
Ried
09 Aug
Ried
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna
02 Aug
A. Lustenau
1 : 1
Ried
24 Jul
Dornbirn
1 : 5
Ried
18 Jul
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ried
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Grazer AK

(Away)
08 Aug
Grazer AK
2 : 1
A. Lustenau
31 Jul
LASK Linz
3 : 0
Grazer AK
25 Jul
Donaufeld Wien
0 : 4
Grazer AK
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5
Dresden
11 Jul
Grazer AK
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ried 32 12 6 14 38:42 28
8 Wolfsberger AC 32 11 8 13 41:42 28
9 Grazer AK 32 9 10 13 42:45 27
10 Altach 32 10 12 10 36:39 27
11 Tirol 32 10 10 12 40:52 24
12 BW Linz 32 8 5 19 37:49 21
Relegation - 2. Liga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)