Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Innviertel Arena, Ried
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Bajlicz N.
14' Event
Havenaar N.
Assist: Nasrawe J.
48'
Sub
Sollbauer M. In: Rossdorfer F.
Out: Sollbauer M.

AI Match Summary

Ried in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ried
15%
Draws
46%
Rapid Vienna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapid Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rapid Vienna lately — more wins on the board than Ried.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rapid Vienna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ried, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Ried Clean Sheet 68%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Rapid Vienna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.66 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Rapid Vienna
1:2
May 25, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Ried
3:0
May 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Rapid Vienna
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 OFB Cup
Ried vs Rapid Vienna
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Ried
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Havenaar N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boguo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Amane R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 41 / 100
Rapid Vienna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Rapid Vienna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rapid Vienna conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ried went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Rapid Vienna
2 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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Rapid Vienna

(Away)
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
12 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 3
Rapid Vienna
05 Sept
A. Klagenfurt
2 : 5
Rapid Vienna
02 Sept
Salzburg
5 : 1
Rapid Vienna
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rapid Vienna -
TBD -
Ried 2
Wolfsberger AC 1
Final
Rapid Vienna 4
Ried 2