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Riegelsberg W vs Karlsruher W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2020/2021
Sun, Sep 27, 2020
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riegelsberg W play Karlsruher W in the DFB Pokal Women 2020/2021. Karlsruher W are favorites here. Recently, Riegelsberg W averaged 0.6 goals scored and 4.8 conceded. Karlsruher W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.94 conceded. In past meetings, Riegelsberg W won 0, Karlsruher W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2020 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.39 for Riegelsberg W and 3.46 for Karlsruher W. This points to a Karlsruher W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Riegelsberg W
15%
Draws
56%
Karlsruher W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlsruher W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Riegelsberg W picked up more points recently compared to Karlsruher W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.39 vs 3.46 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Riegelsberg W Clean Sheet 10%
Karlsruher W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riegelsberg W Karlsruher W
Matches Played 10 33
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 0.6 1.33
Goals Conceded 4.8 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.14 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.43 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2020 DFB Pokal Women
Riegelsberg W vs Karlsruher W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riegelsberg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.11
Avg xA / game 0.07

Karlsruher W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogee A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riegelsberg W 28 / 100
Karlsruher W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riegelsberg W Karlsruher W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlsruher W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Karlsruher W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Riegelsberg W attacking → ← attacking Karlsruher W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riegelsberg W scored in 40% of their last 10 games.

Karlsruher W let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Riegelsberg W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Karlsruher W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 26
0.14 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
4.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63