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Riga FC 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sindlers L.
46'
Sub
Girgens F. In: Kalinovs D.
Out: Girgens F.
58'
Sub
Dobrajs M. In: Sula M.
Out: Dobrajs M.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC 2 in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 have won more games recently than Marupe.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
1:0
May 11, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 83 / 100
Marupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC 2's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marupe let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Riga FC 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Marupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
04 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3
Riga FC 2
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
23 May
Rezekne
2 : 1
Riga FC 2
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Marupe

(Away)
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814
Promotion - Virsliga (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Relegation)