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Riga FC 2 vs Super Nova 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Vitins A.
37' Event
Maurs-Boks E.
45' Event
Strelcovs I.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC 2 in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Riga FC 2
35%
Draws
22%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 have won more games recently than Super Nova 2.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Super Nova 2
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Super Nova 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitins A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maurs-Boks E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 57 / 100
Super Nova 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Riga FC 2 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Riga FC 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Super Nova 2
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova 2

(Away)
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 22 18 3 1 93:17 57
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 22 14 5 3 50:27 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 22 10 2 10 37:34 32
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 22 4 3 15 36:65 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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